Phn tch t l ko l k nng quan trng nht khi tham gia c cc bng . Nhiu ngi chi thng t cc da trn cm tnh hoc theo m ng, nhng iu ny thng dn n thua l. Bi vit ny s hng dn bn cch phn tch t l ko mt cch khoa hc v hiu qu.
1. Cc Loi T L Ko Ph Bin
Ko Chu (Asian Handicap)
Ko Chu loi b kh nng ha, to ra c hi thng 50/50. i mnh phi chp i yu mt t s nht nh:
- Handicap 0: i no thng th thng cc
- Handicap -0.5: i mnh phi thng t nht 1 bn
- Handicap -1: i mnh phi thng t nht 2 bn thng
- Handicap +1: i yu c cng 1 bn
Ko Ti Xu (Over/Under)
Ngi chi t cc tng s bn thng trong trn u cao hn (Ti) hay thp hn (Xu) mc nh ci a ra:
- Ti Xu 2.5: Ti thng nu tng bn 3, Xu thng nu tng bn 2
- Ti Xu 3: Ti thng nu tng bn 4
Ko Chu u (1X2)
Loi ko n gin nht: t cc i thng (1), ha (X), hoc i thua (2).
2. Cch c Odds Bng
Odds (t l tr thng) phn nh xc sut nh ci nh gi cho mt kt qu. C ba loi odds chnh:
Decimal Odds (Odds Thp Phn)
Ph bin chu u. Cch tnh: Tin thng = Tin cc Odds
V d: Odds 2.50, t 100.000 VN Thng 250.000 VN (li 150.000 VN)
Fractional Odds (Odds Phn S)
Ph bin Anh. V d 5/2 c ngha t 2 n v thng 5 n v.
American Odds (Odds M)
Dng cho underdog, m cho favorite. +200 ngha t 100 thng 200.
3. Chin Lc Phn Tch Hiu Qu
Nghin Cu Trc Trn u
- Phong gn nht: Xem 5-10 trn gn nht ca mi i
- i u trc tip: Lch s i u thng cho thy xu hng
- Chn thng v treo gi: Thiu cu th ch cht nh hng ln
- Sn nh/Sn khch: i ch nh thng c li th 10-15%
- Mc tiu ma gii: i cn im hay ht ng lc
So Snh Odds Nhiu Nh Ci
Khng nn ch xem mt nh ci. So snh odds gia cc nh ci gip tm gi tr tt nht. S chnh lch odds c th cho thy:
- Nh ci ny nh gi i A mnh hn
- C thng tin ni b m bn cha bit
- Th trng ang dch chuyn theo hng no
Qun L Vn Thng Minh
Nguyn tc quan trng nht trong kinh nghim c cc:
- Ch t 1-5% tng vn cho mt cc
- Khng cc khi ang tilt (thua lin tip)
- t mc tiu li/l ngy v dng li
- Gi k lut, khng tng mc cc g
4. Sai Lm Cn Trnh
- nh theo m ng: Khng phi lc no m ng cng ng
- Cc vo i yu thch: Cm xc l k th ca c cc
- Chi qu nhiu trn: Tp trung vo vi trn c gi tr cao
- ui theo thua l: Cng cc nhiu cng thua
5. Khi No Nn t Cc
Thi im t cc cng quan trng:
- Sm: Khi c thng tin chc chn, odds c th tt hn
- ng lc: Ch th trng n nh sau khi ra ko
- Trnh: t cc ngay trc trn khi odds thay i nhiu
Kt Lun
Phn tch t l ko bng i hi kin nhn, nghin cu v k lut. Khng c cng thc thng 100%, nhng nu bn p dng ng cc nguyn tc trn, t l thng s c ci thin ng k.
Hy nh rng c cc bng nn l hnh thc gii tr, khng phi cch kim tin. Chi c trch nhim v ch s dng tin bn c th afford mt.